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October 25, 2026

Iran conflict highlights India’s reliance on Gulf hubs

India’s international aviation sector has experienced a significant contraction in the wake of the Iran conflict, with the first full quarterly figures from April to June 2026 indicating a substantial downturn. This development underscores India’s heavy reliance on Middle Eastern hubs for air connectivity.

Impact of the Iran Conflict on Indian Airline Traffic

According to data released by the Indian aviation regulator, DGCA, international passenger numbers to and from India dropped approximately 9% to 17.2 million. Indian airlines suffered even more, with their international traffic decreasing by about 27% to 6.4 million passengers.

The Role of Gulf Hubs in Indian Aviation

The Middle East plays a pivotal role in Indian aviation not merely as a destination but as a vital link to the rest of the world. Key airports such as those in Dubai, Doha, Abu Dhabi, and Muscat serve as crucial transit points for India’s vast expatriate community and facilitate connections to Europe, Africa, and North America.

Varying Effects Across Different Markets

The airspace restrictions stemming from the Iran war resulted in varied impacts on Indian international flights, with some markets experiencing more disruption than others. However, the connection between India and the UAE, the region’s largest aviation partner, remained especially critical during this period.

Reporting based on coverage first published by skift.com.